Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.440521 0.487554 0.538138 0.596691 0.662734 0.735064 0.820479
2025-06-01 0.369317 0.435176 0.511319 0.606323 0.722327 0.860175 1.037585
2025-06-08 0.322725 0.396083 0.485013 0.601666 0.751982 0.940957 1.199372
2025-06-15 0.293089 0.371746 0.470848 0.606309 0.788873 1.029583 1.376328
2025-06-22 0.264666 0.344926 0.449328 0.597041 0.803822 1.087800 1.515751
2025-06-29 0.242636 0.323847 0.432506 0.591036 0.820668 1.147913 1.661937
2025-07-06 0.218009 0.296829 0.404813 0.566500 0.807613 1.162317 1.739890
2025-07-13 0.206707 0.287201 0.400171 0.573898 0.840889 1.246920 1.933659
2025-07-20 0.196512 0.278178 0.395378 0.580145 0.872237 1.330607 2.134497
2025-07-27 0.187379 0.269899 0.390818 0.585953 0.902798 1.415132 2.345609
2025-08-03 0.178437 0.261179 0.384787 0.588655 0.928092 1.492729 2.552956
2025-08-10 0.171078 0.254292 0.380935 0.594254 0.958215 1.580687 2.788685
2025-08-17 0.159803 0.240773 0.366037 0.581014 0.955890 1.613223 2.927546
2025-08-24 0.154118 0.235705 0.364234 0.589452 0.991884 1.717647 3.218880
2025-08-31 0.146324 0.226717 0.355387 0.585003 1.004227 1.779388 3.432302
2025-09-07 0.140922 0.221254 0.351919 0.589493 1.032971 1.874469 3.726755
2025-09-14 0.133480 0.211957 0.341381 0.580521 1.035581 1.918747 3.917775
2025-09-21 0.127177 0.204201 0.332969 0.574709 1.043559 1.974180 4.140507
2025-09-28 0.118323 0.191634 0.315501 0.550951 1.014495 1.951078 4.180463
2025-10-05 0.115130 0.188633 0.314608 0.558115 1.047340 2.060013 4.545346
2025-10-12 0.111956 0.185478 0.313219 0.564164 1.078336 2.168031 4.923929
2025-10-19 0.108906 0.182366 0.311697 0.569787 1.108836 2.277996 5.324046
2025-10-26 0.105604 0.178621 0.308779 0.572403 1.133112 2.376399 5.709438